NFL Week 16 odds: Indianapolis at Kansas City

With what was expected of the Colts this season – not much – it’s fairly stunning they can clinch a playoff spot Sunday with a win over hapless Kansas City.

Indianapolis lost its chance at the AFC South title with last week’s 29-17 loss to Houston. Indianapolis rookie Andrew Luck had two touchdown passes, but was held to 186 yards on a season-low 13 completions in 27 attempts. The Colts (9-5) had won seven of their last eight games. However, the seven victories had come against teams that entered Week 15 with a combined 29-62 record. The one loss in that span came against New England in similar fashion to Sunday’s setback, a 59-24 blowout on Nov. 18.

The Chiefs fell to 2-12 with a 15-0 home loss to Oakland. Brady Quinn threw for 136 yards and one interception on 18-of-32 efficiency for the Chiefs (2-12), who have dropped 10 of their last 11 outings. Dexter McCluster had seven receptions for 59 yards in the setback, Kansas City’s first by shutout since Dec. 12, 2010 at San Diego in a 31-0 loss. Quinn was injured in the game and likely will give way to third-stringer Ricky Stanzi on Sunday.

The Colts are a lot more effective when they can establish an even run-pass balance. As promising as Luck looks, he will still make some rookie mistakes and those mistakes can be limited when the defense is not able to dictate play selection by down and distance. Rookie RB Vick Ballard had his best game in Week 15, gaining 105 yards on 5.8 yards per carry against a stout Houston defense. The Colts need his production to take some pressure off Luck and their passing game.

WAGERWEB.COM OPENING ODDS: Colts -6.5 (41.5) Check current lines

COLTS NOTES: Can become 4th team in NFL history to win 10 or more games following season with 2 or fewer victories … QB ANDREW LUCK (3,978) needs 74 passing yards to surpass CAM NEWTON (4,051) for most by rookie in NFL history. Has 6 game-winning drives in 4th quarter or OT, most by rookie since at least 1970 merger. Luck’s 9 wins are most by rookie QB who was drafted No. 1 overall in SB era (since 1966)…Rookie RB VICK BALLARD posted career-best 105 rush yards last week. In past 2, Ballard is averaging 99.5 rush yards per game … WR REGGIE WAYNE (12,942) needs 58 receiving yards to become 14th player in NFL history with 13,000 career. Wayne (97) needs 3 rec. to reach 100 for 4th time in career & tie for 2nd most such seasons in NFL history. WR T.Y. HILTON leads NFL rookies in 100-yard receiving games (4) & TD catches (6) … Rookie TE DWAYNE ALLEN posted 3rd TD catch of career last week … LB DWIGHT FREENEY has 105.5 career sacks, 5th-most among active players … LB ROBERT MATHIS has 8 sacks in 10 games in 2012.

CHIEFS NOTES: QB BRADY QUINN completed 19 of 23 passes (82.6 pct.) for 201 yards with 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 132.1 rating in last game at home. Quinn has won 3 of his past 5 starts in December. Club averages 139.3 rush yards per game, 3rd-best in AFC … RB JAMAAL CHARLES is averaging 91.4 rush yards per game at home in ’12. Totaled 101 scrimmage yards (87 rush, 14 receiving) in only career meeting vs. Ind. RB PEYTON HILLIS totaled 117 scrimmage yards (94 rush, 23 receiving) in last game vs. Colts (with Browns on 9/18/11) … WR DEXTER MCCLUSTER had career-best 7 receptions last week…LB TAMBA HALI (61.5) has 3rd-most sacks in Chiefs annals (HOFer DERRICK THOMAS, 126.5; NEIL SMITH, 85.5). Hali has 2 sacks in 3 career games against Colts. Hali (8) & LB JUSTIN HOUSTON (10) aim to become 1st Chiefs duo since Neil Smith (11.5) & Derrick Thomas (11) in 1994 to each register double-digit sacks. Houston has 5 sacks in 7 career games in December … LB DERRICK JOHNSON leads team with 112 tackles in 2012.

WAGERWEB.COM TRENDS: Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Colts are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC. Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game

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