NFL Week 14 odds: St. Louis at Buffalo

The Rams were exploited for 148 yards on the ground in Week 13. They have been inconsistent defending the run in 2012. Buffalo, which racked up 232 rushing yards in last week’s beatdown of the Jaguars, is fourth-best in the league with a 5.2-yard average per carry. Look for Bills coach Chan Gailey to control the clock with a physical ground assault featuring C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson.

Gailey has been hammering on the importance of improving fundamentals – he feels “a batted pass here or a drop there” are the little things that have held Buffalo’s development back too often this season. Few coaches call for as many screens as Gailey, and opposing defenses know they’re coming in abundance. The onus is on the Bills’ running backs and receivers to get off the jams St. Louis will attempt to use to disrupt the timing of the screens.

The Rams’ defense did a good job of containing the 49ers’ ground game on first and second down last week, and faces another dynamic rushing attack in Buffalo. St. Louis’ offense lacks consistency, but the emergence of rookie WR Chris Givens gives QB Sam Bradford a playmaking presence downfield, and Danny Amendola could return from his foot injury.

WAGERWEB.COM OPENING ODDS: Bills -3 (42). Check our current lines.

RAMS NOTES: QB SAM BRADFORD aims for 3rd win in row … RB STEVEN JACKSON rushed for 110 yards with TD & had 5 catches for 78 yards (188 scrimmage yards) in last meeting. Since 2006, has NFL-best 10,838 scrimmage yards … Rookie WR CHRIS GIVENS had 11 catches for 92 yards last week. In past 2, has 16 catches for 207 yards (103.5 per game) & TD. Has 3 career TDs & avg. 46 yards per TD. WR DANNY AMENDOLA aims for 3rd in row vs. AFC with 7 catches … CB JANORIS JENKINS has 3 TDs in past 2 (2 INT-TDs & FR-TD). Aims for 3rd in row with defensive TD. DE WILLIAM HAYES has 2.5 sacks in past 2 & aims for 3rd in row with sack. DE ROBERT QUINN has 8.5 sacks in past 12. DE CHRIS LONG has 7 sacks in past 10. LB JAMES LAURINAITIS is only NFC player with 8.5 sacks & 6 INTs since 2009 … Rookie K GREG ZUERLEIN is 1st in NFL history to tie game with 0:00 left in 4th & win game in OT with 50-yard FGs.

BILLS NOTES: Aim for 3rd consecutive win at home … QB RYAN FITZPATRICK (76) needs 2 TDs to surpass JACK KEMP (77) for 3rd-most in Bills history. Was selected in 7th round of ’05 NFL Draft by Rams & spent 2 seasons in StL … Club leads AFC with 147.9 rush yards per game in ’12 … RB C.J. SPILLER (907) needs 93 rush yards to reach 1,000 for 1st time in career. Is averaging 91.7 rush yards per game in past 3 (275). Averages NFL-best 6.6 yards per carry. RB FRED JACKSON posted 1st 100-yard rush game of season last week (109). Bills are 11-3 (.786) when Jackson has 100 rush yards … Since ’11, TE SCOTT CHANDLER is 2nd among AFC TEs with 12 TD catches. Has 6 TD receptions in 2012, tying his career high (2011)….DE MARIO WILLIAMS has 5 sacks in past 3 games. Williams (9.5) needs 0.5 sack to become 1st Bill since 2009 to with 10 sacks in season (AARON SCHOBEL, 10) … Since entering NFL in 2009, S JAIRUS BYRD is tied for 3rd in league with 18 INTs … PR LEODIS MC KELVIN has NFL-best 20.4 PR avg.

WAGERWEB.COM TRENDS: Rams are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Rams are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Rams are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 14. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Bills are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Bills are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

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