College football odds: No. 1 Kansas State at Baylor

Kansas State can take one more step toward playing for its first national championship and QB Collin Klein can take another toward becoming the first KSU player to win a Heisman if the Wildcats win at Baylor on Saturday. KSU is an 11-point favorite on WagerWeb.com.

At 10-0 overall and 7-0 in the Big 12, the Wildcats are one victory shy of a Big 12 championship and likely two victories away from playing in the BCS National Championship Game. But they say they are treating Baylor the same way they treat every opponent.

Last week, KSU beat TCU 23-10. Klein had 195 total yards and two rushing scores. He turned the ball over on Kansas State’s first drive. It was his first turnover in Big 12 play, despite logging more than 200 touches. Klein has accounted for 31 of the Wildcats’ 47 offensive touchdowns this season, including 19 rushing touchdowns to rank third nationally and tops among quarterbacks. He has also thrown for 2,020 yards and 12 touchdowns on 145-of-208 passing to accumulate a 167.4 passer rating, which leads the Big 12, ranks eighth nationally and is better than the current school mark of 159.6 by Michael Bishop in 1998.

Kansas State has won its last nine games against teams from Texas, including a 5-0 run in 2011. All four of the Big 12 wins against Texas teams came by one possession. The last time the Wildcats lost to a Texas team, it was at the hands of Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin, who passed for 404 yards, in 2010.

Baylor (4-5, 1-5) lost 42-34 at Oklahoma a week ago. Lache Seastrunk ran for 91 yards and three touchdowns for Baylor, the last score getting the Bears within eight with 1:26 to play after quarterback Nick Florence got in on the 2-point conversion. Lacoltan Bester recovered the ensuing onside kick, sealing the win for Oklahoma.

After not rushing for more than 232 yards in the season’s first five games, the Baylor rushing attack has ran for at least 250 yards in three of its last four games, including a 252-yard and 4 TD performance at Oklahoma. Baylor currently ranks 34th in the nation with 196.3 rushing yards per game; 230.3 yards on the ground over last four games. Baylor’s 252 rushing yards at Oklahoma were most allowed by the Sooners this season.

Baylor QB Nick Florence leads nation in total offense (394.8 ypg) and passing yards (354.6 ypg). Baylor’s 5,076 yards of total offense and 3,309 passing yards are both 3rd most in a single-season in program history.

Baylor takes on a No. 1-ranked opponent for 1st time since Oct. 4, 2010 when Oklahoma defeated BU 49-17 at Floyd Casey Stadium. It’s the 4th time a top-ranked opponent has visited Floyd Casey Stadium in last 50 years. Baylor is 0-11-1 all-time against No. 1-ranked opponents.

Saturday marks just the 10th series meeting between Baylor and Kansas State with the Wildcats holding a 7-2 series advantage. The Bears have faced Kansas State fewer times than any other Big 12 Conference school. Baylor is 1-5 against Kansas State teams coached by Bill Snyder. Last year, Kansas State rallied for 10 fourth quarter points to tally a 36-35 come-from-behind win in Manhattan.

WagerWeb.com trends: Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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