Tuesday college basketball odds: No. 5 Louisville at Villanova

After getting knocked off from the top spot in the polls thanks to a home loss to Syracuse on Saturday, Louisville looks to bounce back at Villanova. The Cards opened as 12-point favorites on WagerWeb.com. Check our current odds.

Louisville was beaten 70-68 by the Orange. Russ Smith’s 25 points led Louisville (16-2, 4-1), which had its 11-game winning streak stopped. The Cardinals shot 41 percent (24 of 59) including 29 percent in the second half. After taking a 68-66 lead on Smith’s two free throws with 1:58 remaining, Louisville missed two shots and committed two turnovers. Louisville’s final chance to tie ended with a pass inside around Gorgui Dieng’s knees in the final seconds which Syracuse recovered to seal the victory. Peyton Siva scored 3 points in the loss, his season low. It marked just the 7th time in his career to start a game and score 3 or fewer points. Louisville is 2-5 in those games.

Louisville is now 15-3 when committing 9 or fewer turnovers since 2009-10. Their two previous losses came against Georgetown. Since 1997-98, Louisville has never committed 9 or fewer turnovers vs. Syracuse. The fewest turnovers committed by Louisville (against Syracuse) in a loss was when Louisville committed 13 turnovers in a 69-65 loss at the Carrier Dome on January 10, 1998. Louisville is second nationally in turnover margin (+7.5). The Cards have forced an average of 19.7 turnovers a game, scoring 449 of their 1375 points off turnovers (33%).

Villanova (11-7, 2-3) has lost three straight, falling at Providence on Saturday. The game was a tale of two halves for Providence. The Friars trailed 31-24 at halftime, but outscored Villanova 45-35 in the second half. JayVaughn Pinkston led the Wildcats with 20 points in the loss, and Darrun Hilliard added 14.

Louisville has a 9-8 series edge over Villanova and the Cardinals have won four of the last six matchups, including winning last year’s meeting 84-74 in the KFC Yum! Center (1/25/12) as Siva’s 16 points led five Cardinals in double figures.

WagerWeb.com trends: Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. Wildcats are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


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